Rows of warehouse racks stacked with boxes

One of Asia's biggest warehouse investors is putting $5 billion into Saudi industrial and logistics property with a billionaire Saudi family. They're betting the kingdom's storage crunch will outlast the war that made it worse.

Singapore-based ESR and Dammam-based Al Muhaidib Group launched the joint venture on Thursday, Al Arabiya reported.

The venture will build new industrial and logistics sites and buy existing ones in Riyadh, Jeddah and Dammam. It's due to start operating in the first quarter of 2027.

Why now: The war has redrawn the kingdom's supply map.

Jeddah Islamic Port handled 47% of Saudi merchandise imports in August, up from 22% a year earlier, after the near-closure of Hormuz cut off the east coast. The value of goods coming through Jeddah almost doubled to SR33.5 billion.

Red Sea ports are running at maximum capacity, shipping executives told Gulf business news site AGBI. With no freight rail between Jeddah and Riyadh, everything moves by truck, and all of it needs somewhere to sit.

Warehouse occupancy is above 90% in Riyadh, Jeddah and Dammam, according to Chicago-based real estate consultancy JLL. Tenants are signing leases of five years or more to lock in space, says US property adviser CBRE.

Entry point or peak? The bull case is that the shortage is structural. Top-grade warehouses make up less than 10% of Saudi stock, according to ESR.

JLL expects prime rents to stay high whatever happens in the conflict, and says the west coast ports should keep part of the diverted trade for good.

The risk is timing. The venture won't open until 2027. If Hormuz reopens, some cargo will flow back east, just as new supply arrives.

Rivals are already piling in. State-owned developer Roshn signed a SR2.5 billion deal for a logistics park in Jeddah in March, and UAE port operator DP World opened a warehouse in Riyadh in July.

The players: Al Muhaidib was founded in 1943 as a food trader. It's a co-founder of power developer Acwa and one of the biggest shareholders in food group Savola. Its trucking and container arm is Jadeer Logistics.

Chairman Sulaiman Al Muhaidib is worth $2.3 billion, according to Forbes.

ESR builds and manages logistics parks and data centres across Asia-Pacific, for tenants including Amazon and JD.com. A consortium including Starwood Capital took it private in 2025.

Gulf push: On Oct 7, ESR sold eight Indian logistics parks to Brookfield for $450 million. A day later, it opened a Gulf business in Dubai, targeting a pipeline worth more than $10 billion across Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

What we don't know: How the venture is split, who runs it, and which assets come first.

What to watch: Whether its first deals land in Jeddah, where the pressure is greatest, or in Riyadh, where the long-term demand sits.

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